Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Talia Gibson Match O/U 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Talia Gibson Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% Pliskova | 0% Gibson |
| Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Talia Gibson Match O/U 22.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Talia Gibson Match O/U 23.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Talia Gibson | 100% Karolina Pliskova | 0% Talia Gibson |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of nottingham open: karolina pliskova vs talia gibson. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Pliskova and Talia Gibson in the Nottingham Open, originally scheduled for June 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will res…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Talia Gibson on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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