Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lilli Tagger | 100% Anastasia Zakharova | 0% Lilli Tagger |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lilli Tagger Match O/U 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lilli Tagger Match O/U 22.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lilli Tagger Match O/U 23.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lilli Tagger Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to lexus eastbourne open, qualification: anastasia zakharova vs lilli tagger. This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasia Zakharova and Lilli Tagger in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will …
Methodology
We track Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lilli Tagger on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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