Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Andrea Pellegrino

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Marco Cecchinato and Andrea Pellegrino met in Roland Garros qualifying on Thursday, with Pellegrino ultimately coming through in three tight sets, 7-6, 6-7, 6-4. The crowd-implied 0% YES price is at odds with the live match state, since a completed result has already been posted by score services and market settlement should now depend on the exchange’s confirmation rather than on pre-match expectations. In comparable ATP qualifying markets, especially at Grand Slams, prices can move sharply once a match is underway or a result is recorded, and historical head-to-head data is a weaker guide than current progress through the draw.

The main catalysts now are administrative rather than sporting: official completion of the match, any correction to the scoreline, and whether the exchange records a standard win or a void if there is a data discrepancy. Both players came through qualifying for this round and were listed as close in the pre-match market, with Pellegrino favoured by several preview outlets and odds initially around 1.40 versus 2.82 for Cecchinato. ATP head-to-head pages and live-score feeds are the relevant sources to watch for confirmation, while the settlement window means any unresolved issue by 28 May would be handled under the market rules for delayed or abandoned matches.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.