Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatov

Platform comparison

Market context

Raphael Collignon, who reached a career-high ATP singles ranking of world No. 42 on 13 July 2026, faces Timofey Skatov in the Swiss Open singles match originally set for 8:00 AM ET today [2]. Collignon’s recent form shows volatility: he defeated Denis Shapovalov and Grigor Dimitrov in early rounds earlier this year before losing in the quarterfinals to Brandon Nakashima, yet he suffered a straight-set defeat to Arthur Fils at Wimbledon just days prior [1][3].

Historically, markets assigning a 35% implied probability to a player ranked near the top 45 who has lost their last high-profile match often correct upward once the opponent’s ranking and surface suitability are confirmed, as seen in similar ATP 250 first-round scenarios where the lower-ranked player’s form was overweighted [3]. In Collignon’s case, his 66.4% overall win rate and strong performance on hard courts contrast with his Wimbledon loss, suggesting the crowd may be underreacting to his baseline resilience on European clay [3].

Traders should monitor Collignon’s official warm-up status and any late draw changes, as the Swiss Open draw can shift if players withdraw due to injury or fatigue ahead of the tournament’s second week [5]. No coaching changes have been reported for Collignon since his Davis Cup standout against France in late 2025, but his travel schedule from Wimbledon to Gstaad may impact recovery time, a factor that often influences early-round outcomes in ATP 250 events [6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatov. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.