Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Hamish Stewart

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Market context

Ilya Ivashka’s Bengaluru 3 semi-final against Hamish Stewart was on the schedule for 22 May, and the market is effectively treating a completed Ivashka win as the base case. That lines up with the pre-match pricing elsewhere, which had Ivashka around 1.54 to Stewart’s 2.28, and with Robinhood and Kalshi both listing Ivashka as the likely winner. The underlying read is straightforward: Ivashka has the higher established level, while Stewart is coming in as the outsider trying to convert a good week into a run to the final.

Comparable Challenger pricing of this kind tends to be sensitive to one thing: whether the favourite actually takes the court and finishes the match. If the contest was played on time and Ivashka advanced, a 100% YES price is consistent with the consensus view. If, however, the match was postponed, abandoned or not completed, the settlement language matters more than the pre-match odds; a delay beyond seven days from the scheduled date would push the market towards 50-50. In other words, the current probability is less about fine margins in form and more about whether the scheduled semi-final produced a clean result within the settlement window.

The key catalysts are official tournament updates, any scoreline confirmation from live results feeds, and whether the semi-final was completed before the 29 May deadline. Sportytrader listed the match as live at 02:30 on 22 May, while the latest preview pieces pointed to Ivashka as the expected winner, suggesting no obvious pre-match injury or withdrawal news had shifted the frame. Traders should still watch for walkovers, retirements or schedule disruption, as those are the main factors that can override a straightforward on-court result.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Hamish Stewart across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.