Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Clement Tabur and Marc-Andrea Huesler meet for the second time in their careers during the EFG Swiss Open Gstaad qualification on Sunday at the Roy Emerson Arena, with the match starting at 11:00 local time [1][2]. Tabur, a French player, is favoured by initial odds at 1.84 against Huesler, who holds the same price, suggesting a tightly contested contest where the pick leans toward Tabur winning in three sets [1].
Historically, second-meeting qualifiers between players with identical odds often resolve with the slight favourite prevailing only after extended play, mirroring patterns where early momentum shifts dictate the final outcome rather than pre-match rankings. The 100% crowd-implied probability for a specific outcome in this context is anomalous for a match priced evenly, indicating either a market inefficiency or a misalignment between crowd sentiment and the actual competitive balance, as comparable ATP qualification ties with equal odds rarely produce such extreme consensus without a clear form disparity [1].
Traders should monitor the live score feed for the first-set result, as Tabur’s three-set prediction hinges on his ability to recover from early deficits, while any delay beyond the scheduled start or cancellation would trigger a 50-50 settlement [1][2]. No recent coaching changes or key absences have been reported for either player ahead of this Gstaad qualifier, meaning the catalyst remains purely in-match performance rather than external news [4][9].
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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