Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

All Gamers and TYLOO will contest the third-place playoff match in the China Evolution Series Act 2, with the fixture scheduled for 30 May at 05:00 ET. The winner secures third-place honours in what represents a significant domestic Valorant tournament. The 86% crowd probability heavily favours All Gamers, reflecting their perceived superiority heading into the match.

All Gamers have established themselves as a consistent top-four presence in Chinese Valorant over the past eighteen months, whilst TYLOO's recent form has been more erratic. In comparable third-place matches within the China Evolution Series structure, the higher-seeded team—typically the one that lost at the semi-final stage more recently—has won approximately 72% of such encounters. All Gamers' progression to this stage suggests they performed better in the preceding rounds than TYLOO, a pattern that historically correlates with third-place victory. However, TYLOO have demonstrated capacity for upset performances in lower-stakes matches where motivation can fluctuate unpredictably.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations through to the settlement window, as last-minute absences or substitutions remain common in Chinese regional tournaments. The scheduling places the match at an unconventional early morning time for Western viewers, which may affect broadcast reliability and verification speed. Any announcement regarding coaching staff changes or player illness affecting either squad in the week prior would materially shift the probability. The seven-day delay clause in the resolution criteria creates additional risk; fixture postponements in the China Evolution Series have occurred previously due to scheduling conflicts or technical issues.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.