# of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast Gaming’s first-day view total will hinge on whether the next upload lands on its usual Saturday noon eastern slot and whether the channel’s recent audience hold-up repeats. The channel page currently states “video every single Saturday at noon eastern time”, and the latest visible upload there shows 10M views in 22 hours, while another recent upload reached 49M views in two weeks.[2]

The 0% YES price implies the market is effectively discounting an extreme upside outcome, which is consistent with how concentrated this channel’s traffic can be: one strong thumbnail-title combination can surge quickly, but day-one performance still depends heavily on timing, packaging and whether the upload is a standard gaming concept or a broader, more clickable challenge format.[2][5] Viewstats’ creator analytics and vidIQ’s channel snapshot both place MrBeast Gaming among the largest YouTube properties, with 57.5M subscribers and more than 11B total views, so even routine uploads can clear very large early totals if distribution is strong.[4][5]

For traders, the key catalysts are simple: whether a video is actually posted before the June 30 deadline, whether it appears at the channel’s normal Saturday noon eastern release time, and whether any schedule disruption pushes the 24-hour window into a less favourable period.[2] If there is no upload by the deadline, the market rules send it to the lowest bracket, which caps the downside case and makes the timing of the next post the main event to watch.[2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.