Highest temperature in Busan on July 28?

Platform comparison

Market context

The highest temperature recorded at Gimhae International Airport in Busan on 28 July 2026 will determine which range this market settles into. Busan's summer climate is characterised by hot, humid conditions driven by the East Asian monsoon system and the city's coastal location on the Korea Strait. July typically ranks among the year's warmest months, with daily highs regularly exceeding 28°C and occasionally reaching into the low 30s Celsius.

Historical records from Gimhae Airport show July temperatures have peaked above 33°C in recent decades, though such extremes remain relatively uncommon. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders expect the highest temperature on that specific date to fall below the lowest range option available, which warrants scrutiny against climatological norms. Busan's July averages sit around 29–30°C for daily highs, meaning even modest heat would typically exceed the implied floor of current market pricing.

Resolution depends entirely on Wunderground's historical weather database for Gimhae Airport, which records hourly observations throughout the day. Traders should verify the station's operational status and data completeness ahead of the settlement window closing on 28 July at 12:00 UTC. Any gaps in the station's reporting or data corrections published after the settlement deadline could affect how the market resolves, though such occurrences are rare for a major international airport's primary weather station.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Busan on July 28?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?

Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.