Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 14?

Platform comparison

Market context

On 14 August 2026, the highest temperature recorded at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station will determine this market's resolution. The measurement will be drawn from Weather Underground's Daily Observations table rather than summary figures, establishing a precise baseline for settlement across defined temperature ranges.

Chongqing's August climate presents consistent patterns worth examining. The city experiences peak summer heat during this month, with historical daily maxima typically ranging between 32–37°C. August 2025 saw temperatures at the airport station regularly exceed 35°C, with several days reaching 37–38°C. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are pricing in an outcome at the lower end of the range or outside typical August conditions. Comparable August periods from 2020–2024 show that temperatures below 30°C occur rarely, whilst readings above 39°C remain uncommon but not unprecedented during heat waves.

Traders should monitor weather forecasts from mid-July onwards, as monsoon activity and high-pressure systems significantly influence Chongqing's August temperatures. Any unusual atmospheric patterns—including tropical cyclone activity affecting eastern China or sustained high-pressure ridges—could shift outcomes materially. The settlement window closes at 12:00 UTC on 14 August 2026, meaning forecasts issued 7–10 days prior will offer the most actionable signal. Weather Underground's historical data consistency at this station provides reliable precedent for resolution accuracy.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 14?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

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