Highest temperature in Paris on July 24?

Platform comparison

Market context

Paris-Le Bourget Airport will record its highest temperature on 24 July 2026 during the afternoon hours. This meteorological measurement forms the basis for settlement, with Wunderground's historical data serving as the official reference point for the day's peak reading in degrees Celsius.

July temperatures at Paris-Le Bourget typically range between 24–28°C for daily highs, though extremes have occurred. The station's historical record shows occasional peaks above 30°C during heat waves, with notable instances in 2003 and 2022 when the region experienced sustained high-pressure systems. The current 0% crowd probability suggests traders are either uncertain about the specific temperature bands offered or expect conditions below historical norms for late July. Comparable European airport stations show similar variability, with outcomes heavily dependent on Atlantic weather patterns and continental air mass positioning in the preceding weeks.

Traders should monitor European weather forecasting updates from mid-July onwards, particularly from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. High-pressure systems moving across the continent typically drive temperatures upward, whilst Atlantic low-pressure intrusions cool conditions. The settlement window closes at midday on 24 July, meaning morning forecasts will be the final reliable indicator before resolution. Any significant heat wave warnings issued by French authorities in the days preceding the date would signal elevated temperature expectations.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Paris on July 24?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.