Highest temperature in Singapore on August 6?

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Market context

Singapore’s early-August weather is usually hot, humid, and not far from the low-30s Celsius, which makes a **0% YES** price look aggressive unless a genuinely hot, dry day develops. Climatology still matters: August averages in Singapore are around **31°C** on the high end, with daily highs commonly sitting near **30–32°C** rather than pushing much higher. Forecast guidance for the month also points to highs mostly in the high-20s to low-30s Celsius, consistent with a ceiling that is more often bounded by showers and maritime humidity than by sustained extreme heat.[1][4][19]

For comparable cases, Singapore’s temperature distribution in August tends to cluster tightly around the low 30s, and the airport reading can be capped by passing cloud and late-morning thundery showers. The NEA says south-westerly monsoon conditions are prevailing, with fair and occasionally windy weather expected on several days and localised short-duration thundery showers in the late morning and afternoon over parts of the island.[13] That pattern usually supports a modest midday rise but also creates enough cloud cover and rain risk to keep the day’s peak from running away.[13][19]

The main catalysts are the day-of forecast updates and any shower timing near the settlement window, because a brief wet spell at Singapore Changi can flatten the high even in a warm air mass. Current August outlooks show daily highs generally around **30–31°C**, with some model outputs reaching **33°C** but plenty of outcomes staying nearer **29–31°C** if cloud and rain arrive early.[1][3][8][10] Traders should watch for NEA updates on the prevailing monsoon pattern and any airport-hourly observations, since the market resolves on the highest temperature recorded at Singapore Changi Airport Station before the cut-off.[13][10]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Singapore on August 6?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

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