Bitcoin price on June 1?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

This market resolves based on Bitcoin's closing price at noon Eastern Time on 1 June 2026, using the 1-minute candle data from Binance's BTC/USDT pair. The settlement window extends to 16:00 UTC that same day, allowing roughly four hours after the noon ET snapshot for price confirmation. If the spot price lands between two bracket thresholds, the higher bracket determines the outcome.

Bitcoin's price action over comparable weekly windows has historically shown volatility clustering around macroeconomic announcements and Federal Reserve communications. In the eighteen months preceding this market's creation, intraday moves of 3–5% were routine on days featuring US inflation data or central bank signalling. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are pricing in either extreme confidence in a specific price range or genuine uncertainty about which bracket will capture the noon ET close. Historical precedent indicates that single-day snapshots at fixed times often resolve to ranges that seemed plausible weeks prior, though tail-risk moves do occur.

Key catalysts entering June 2026 include any scheduled Federal Reserve communications, US employment figures released in early June, and broader macroeconomic data that typically influences risk appetite. Bitcoin's correlation with equity markets and real yields remains a primary driver. Traders should monitor Binance's operational status and any potential trading halts, though extended outages are rare. The specific noon ET timestamp creates a dependency on US market hours; European or Asian news released before that window could shift positioning materially.

Methodology

This page reviews Bitcoin price on June 1? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.