Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova

Platform comparison

Market context

Tyra Caterina Grant, an 18-year-old qualifier with 27 wins this season, faces Marie Bouzkova, the Nottingham champion, in the second round of Wimbledon on Court 16 at 11:00 am. The match, originally slated for 6:00 am ET on 1 July, is now underway with Bouzkova heavily favoured; initial odds place her at 1.36 against Grant’s 3.125, and the crowd-implied probability of Grant advancing sits at just 8%. This low figure reflects Bouzkova’s superior ranking and recent form, including her victory over Francesca Jones in late May, while Grant’s record shows a loss to Mirra Andreeva on 29 May.

Historically, 18-year-old qualifiers entering Wimbledon’s second round against established champions rarely overcome the odds unless the veteran suffers injury or a dramatic collapse; such cases, like Grant’s own first-round win, are outliers that do not shift the baseline probability significantly. Traders should monitor real-time updates on player fitness, particularly any walkovers or forfeitures before the match begins, as the market resolves to a fair price if the contest does not occur. Key dependencies include the official start time confirmation and any delays beyond two weeks, which would keep the market open until resolution. Recent coverage from Tennis Tonic confirms Bouzkova is the pick to win in two sets, reinforcing the 8% threshold as a realistic reflection of Grant’s slim chances [1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Wimbledon WTA: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Marie Bouzkova. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.