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Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 13?

How the sports market is pricing "Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 13?" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

82-83°F 100% 73°F or below 0% 74-75°F 0% 76-77°F 0% Volume: $82K Liquidity: $187K Closes: 13 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 13?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
82-83°F100%
73°F or below0%
74-75°F0%
76-77°F0%
78-79°F0%
80-81°F0%
84-85°F0%
86-87°F0%
88-89°F0%
90-91°F0%
92°F or higher0%

Market context

The market concerns the highest temperature recorded at Atlanta's Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport on 13 July 2026, measured in Fahrenheit. This specific date falls within Atlanta's peak summer season, when afternoon highs typically range between 88 and 92 degrees Fahrenheit, though heat waves can push readings into the mid-90s.

Historical data from the National Weather Service shows that Atlanta has recorded temperatures exceeding 95 degrees Fahrenheit on roughly 15 to 20 days per calendar year during the summer months. July typically accounts for three to five such days. The airport station, situated at elevation and surrounded by tarmac, tends to register readings 1 to 2 degrees higher than downtown Atlanta proper. Over the past decade, the highest July temperatures at KATL have ranged from 93 to 97 degrees, with 2019 and 2022 recording particularly warm months.

Traders should monitor seasonal weather patterns emerging in late June 2026, particularly the position of the Bermuda High pressure system, which drives heat and humidity into the Southeast. The National Weather Service's extended forecasts become more reliable approximately 10 days before the settlement date. Additionally, any significant atmospheric patterns—such as tropical systems moving northward or upper-level ridging—could materially shift temperature expectations. Real-time conditions on 12 July will provide the most actionable signal for final positioning.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 13?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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