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Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 27?

How the sports market is pricing "Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 27?" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

90-91°F 100% 83°F or below 0% 84-85°F 0% 86-87°F 0% Volume: $89K Liquidity: $206K Closes: 27 Jul 2026
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Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 27?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
90-91°F100%
83°F or below0%
84-85°F0%
86-87°F0%
88-89°F0%
92-93°F0%
94-95°F0%
96-97°F0%
98-99°F0%
100-101°F0%
102°F or higher0%

Market context

Atlanta's highest temperature on 27 July 2026 will be measured at Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport, the official weather station for the city. The settlement window closes at midday on that date, capturing the full diurnal cycle up to noon and potentially into early afternoon depending on when peak heat occurs.

July temperatures in Atlanta typically peak in the 88–92°F range, though heat waves can drive readings into the mid-90s. Historical data from the airport station shows that extreme outliers above 95°F occur roughly once per decade during summer months, whilst readings below 85°F are uncommon for late July. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are either uncertain about the specific range thresholds in play or expect conditions to fall within a narrow, heavily-favoured band rather than an outlier scenario.

Traders should monitor the National Weather Service forecast for Atlanta in the weeks leading to 27 July, particularly any alerts for heat domes or high-pressure systems that could elevate temperatures above seasonal norms. Humidity levels and cloud cover will materially affect the daily maximum, as will any tropical systems tracking towards the Southeast—the Atlantic hurricane season is active during this period. Wunderground's historical data portal will be the definitive source for settlement, so familiarity with how the airport station records readings (typically at standard observation times) is essential for accurate prediction.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 27?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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