Highest temperature in Seoul on July 14?

Platform comparison

Market context

Seoul experiences peak summer heat in mid-July, with the highest daily temperatures typically occurring in the afternoon hours. The settlement relies on Incheon International Airport Station readings, which serve as the official meteorological reference for the Seoul metropolitan area. July 14th falls within the core of the Korean summer monsoon season, when the peninsula sits under warm, humid air masses and occasional tropical systems can elevate temperatures further.

Historical July data from Incheon shows daily highs regularly exceed 30°C during this period, with readings of 33–35°C not uncommon. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are pricing in an expectation that the highest temperature will fall below the lowest available range option, though this warrants scrutiny given Seoul's consistent summer heat patterns. Comparable years and seasonal norms indicate substantial likelihood of temperatures within typical mid-summer ranges rather than extreme outliers.

The key variable affecting July 14th's temperature will be whether a monsoon trough or tropical system moves across the peninsula in the days preceding settlement. The Korea Meteorological Administration typically issues extended forecasts by early July, which will clarify atmospheric conditions and pressure patterns. Any shift toward a cooler, wetter system could suppress afternoon highs, whilst a high-pressure ridge would favour elevated readings. Traders should monitor official KMA advisories and upper-air forecasts released in the week before the settlement date.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Seoul on July 14?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.