Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 21?

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Market context

The first reading that matters here is the maximum temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport today, with settlement tied to the day’s highest value rather than the midday snapshot. June at the airport is already in the warm season: WeatherSpark says daily highs rise from about 77°F to 83°F across the month, with highs rarely below 69°F or above 92°F, while the hot season begins around 17 June[1][8].

A 0% implied chance is consistent with a market that expects an ordinary June range, but the bar for the upper buckets is still reachable if sunshine breaks through. Current forecasts are mixed: meteoblue points to a sunny day and a high near 65°F for Pudong, while AccuWeather had overcast conditions around 7:57 am local time with 77°F and a RealFeel of 86°F, showing how quickly the field can shift once cloud cover clears[2][4]. Shanghai Hongqiao’s BBC forecast also showed 28°C and humid conditions, which is useful as a regional check rather than a direct settlement guide[3].

For traders, the catalysts are simple but time-sensitive: updated airport observations, changes in cloud cover, and any storm development that suppresses or lifts the afternoon maximum. Wind and humidity matter less than the sun-versus-cloud balance, and the daily high can be set well before the late-evening window closes if the warmest air arrives early. The key dependency is the Shanghai Pudong Airport station feed used by Wunderground, so revisions in the local forecast and actual airport readings are the main inputs to watch[1][5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 21? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

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FAQ

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