Highest temperature in Atlanta on August 5?

Platform comparison

Market context

Atlanta’s high on 5 August is a single-day temperature print at Hartsfield-Jackson, so the market is really about where the day’s maximum lands rather than the broad feel of the weather. With the crowd currently showing **0% YES**, the pricing implies traders see the exact settlement band as very unlikely, even though Atlanta’s August climate normally sits close to the high 80s Fahrenheit and the airport routinely posts some of the city’s hottest official readings.[2][14]

Historical framing points to a wide but seasonal distribution: Atlanta’s August average maximum is about **89°F**, while recent extremes have reached **100°F** in late July 2025 and **99°F** in August 2023, with annual peak readings in the low-to-mid 90s also common.[14][12] That history matters because a one-day airport high can land a few degrees either side of forecast ranges, and the market’s current 0% YES read is far more sceptical than the local climate data alone would suggest.[2][14]

The main catalysts are the short-range forecast, cloud cover, and any rain or thunderstorm development near the airport, because those are the variables that can cap the afternoon high or push it into a different settlement band. AccuWeather’s August outlook for Atlanta shows highs running roughly **86°F to 92°F**, while weather sources also flag rain chances in early August, which would be the key dependency to watch for a lower terminal temperature.[2][7] The final outcome will depend on the highest observed temperature at the airport station on the day, so traders will focus on the updated forecast cycle and any change in storm timing rather than on overnight lows.[3][16]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Atlanta on August 5?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

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