Highest temperature in Busan on August 17?

Platform comparison

Market context

Busan's August weather patterns show consistent heat during the summer monsoon season, with daily highs typically ranging between 28–32°C at Gimhae International Airport, the official measurement station. The city experiences its warmest conditions in mid-August as the summer heat peaks before the autumn transition begins in late month. Historical August records for the region indicate that temperatures exceeding 33°C occur in roughly one-third of years, whilst readings above 35°C remain relatively uncommon but not unprecedented during particularly intense heat waves.

The 0% implied probability reflects the market's current assessment that the specific temperature threshold being wagered on falls outside the likely range for 17 August 2026. Traders should monitor long-range weather forecasting updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration in the weeks preceding the settlement date, as these will provide increasingly refined predictions for that particular day. Sea surface temperatures in the Korea Strait and atmospheric pressure patterns across East Asia during early-to-mid August will influence whether conditions favour above-average or near-average temperatures. The resolution methodology specifies the Daily Observations table from Weather Underground rather than summary figures, meaning intraday peak readings will determine the outcome rather than rounded daily highs.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Busan on August 17?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

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