Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 11?

Platform comparison

Market context

On 11 August 2026, the highest temperature recorded at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station will determine this market's resolution. The measurement will be drawn from Weather Underground's Daily Observations table rather than summary figures, establishing a precise baseline for settlement across defined temperature ranges.

Chongqing's August climate presents consistent thermal patterns. Historical data shows the city regularly experiences daily highs between 32–38°C during mid-August, with occasional peaks exceeding 40°C during particularly intense heat waves. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders currently expect the temperature to fall below the lowest range bracket offered, though this baseline requires scrutiny against seasonal norms. August typically ranks among Chongqing's hottest months, with the Yangtze River valley's geography trapping warm air masses and limiting cooling overnight.

Traders should monitor weather forecasts released in late July and early August 2026, as these will provide increasingly precise predictions for that specific date. Atmospheric pressure systems moving across central China in the week preceding 11 August will be critical—subtropical high-pressure systems typically drive temperatures upward, whilst any northerly wind patterns or frontal systems could moderate heat. The resolution source's reliance on Jiangbei Airport station data means localised conditions at that specific location supersede broader city-wide measurements, making station-level forecasts more relevant than general Chongqing weather bulletins.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 11?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

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