Highest temperature in Dallas on June 28?

Platform comparison

Market context

Dallas faces a critical heat window as June 28, 2026, approaches, with the Dallas Love Field Station poised to record its daily peak temperature. Current crowd-implied probability sits at 0% for the highest temperature falling into the lowest range, suggesting traders expect conditions well above mild thresholds. Historical data frames this expectation: June 2026 forecasts for Love Field indicate daily highs between 96°F and 100°F, while the highest recorded temperature in Dallas this year already reached 97°F on June 2. Even the historic average for late June hovers near 94°F, making a low-temperature outcome statistically improbable unless an unprecedented cooling event occurs.

Traders must monitor real-time updates from Wunderground and the National Weather Service for the KDAL station, particularly any sudden shifts in cloud cover or precipitation that could suppress temperatures. The settlement window ends at 12:00 UTC on June 28, meaning only data recorded before that cutoff will resolve the market. Recent forecasts from AccuWeather confirm sustained high temperatures through late June, with overnight lows remaining between 77°F and 83°F, reinforcing the likelihood of a hot day. No major weather disruptions have been announced, and the absence of key cooling catalysts—such as frontal systems or monsoonal moisture—further supports the current market stance against low-temperature outcomes.

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Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Dallas on June 28?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.