Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 13?

Platform comparison

Market context

Shanghai's highest temperature on 13 August 2026 will be measured at Pudong International Airport Station and resolved using Weather Underground's Daily Observations table rather than the Day High & Low summary. The market currently shows 0% implied probability across all temperature ranges, suggesting traders have not yet priced in expectations for this specific date.

August represents peak summer in Shanghai, with historical data showing average daily highs between 32–34°C during this period. The city's subtropical climate produces consistently warm conditions through mid-August, though occasional typhoon systems or monsoon patterns can introduce variability. Examining Weather Underground records from previous August 13th observations provides the most direct comparable baseline: temperatures have typically ranged from 30–36°C depending on cloud cover, precipitation, and atmospheric pressure systems active in the region.

Traders should monitor tropical cyclone forecasts issued by the China Meteorological Administration and regional weather services in late July and early August 2026, as typhoons approaching or crossing the East China Sea materially affect Shanghai's temperature profile. Urban heat island effects from Shanghai's dense development also influence station readings, particularly during high-pressure systems. The resolution methodology's reliance on Pudong Airport Station data—rather than alternative Shanghai monitoring sites—means familiarity with that specific location's historical temperature patterns will be essential for calibrating range selections. Current zero probability across all ranges suggests the market awaits initial trader participation to establish baseline expectations.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 13?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

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When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

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