Highest temperature in Taipei on July 25?

Platform comparison

Market context

Taipei's highest temperature on 25 July 2026 will be measured at Songshan Airport Station, the official weather observation point for the city. July represents peak summer in Taiwan, with the island situated in a subtropical climate zone where afternoon highs routinely exceed 35°C during this period. The settlement window closes at midday UTC on 25 July, meaning the full day's temperature range will be captured before resolution.

Historical records from Taipei's meteorological data show July temperatures typically peak between 34–37°C, though extreme heat events have occasionally pushed readings above 38°C. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are either uncertain about the specific range brackets available or are hedging against outlier scenarios. Comparable July days at Songshan Airport over the past decade provide the most reliable baseline for assessing likelihood across temperature bands, as seasonal patterns remain relatively consistent year-on-year despite broader climate variation.

The primary catalyst affecting this outcome will be the passage of tropical systems or monsoon patterns in late July 2026. Taiwan's weather during this period is influenced by the Pacific high-pressure system and potential typhoon activity, which can either suppress temperatures through cloud cover and rainfall or intensify heat through stalled atmospheric conditions. Traders should monitor weather forecasts issued 7–10 days before the settlement date, as these will clarify whether anomalous heat or cooler, wetter conditions are expected across the island during that specific window.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Taipei on July 25?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.