Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 17?

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Market context

On 17 August 2026, the highest temperature recorded at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will determine this market's resolution. The settlement window closes at midday UTC on that date, with Weather Underground's Daily Observations table serving as the authoritative source rather than summary figures that may occasionally diverge.

Wuhan's August temperatures have historically clustered in the 32–36°C range, with extremes occasionally reaching 37–39°C during heat waves. The city experiences peak summer heat in mid-August, though the specific daily maximum varies considerably year to year depending on atmospheric pressure systems and moisture patterns moving across central China. Historical records from the airport station show that whilst temperatures above 38°C occur roughly once every three to five years in August, they remain statistically uncommon for any given date.

Traders should monitor weather forecasts released in the week preceding 17 August, particularly those tracking Tibetan high-pressure systems and tropical moisture from the South China Sea, both of which drive extreme heat events in the region. The China Meteorological Administration typically issues detailed ten-day forecasts by mid-August that provide early signals of anomalous conditions. Any significant tropical cyclone activity in the western Pacific could suppress temperatures through cloud cover and precipitation, whilst persistent high-pressure dominance would favour hotter readings. Real-time station data from Wunderground becomes increasingly reliable as the date approaches, allowing traders to refine positions based on observed trends rather than seasonal averages alone.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 17?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

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