Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Betclic Apogee Esports (-3.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+3.5) | 100% Betclic Apogee Esports | 0% Esport Academy Copenhagen |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Betclic Apogee Esports (-3.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+3.5) | 0% Betclic Apogee Esports | 100% Esport Academy Copenhagen |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: EAC (-1.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+1.5) | 0% Esport Academy Copenhagen | 100% Betclic Apogee Esports |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Betclic Apogee Esports (-6.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+6.5) | 0% Betclic Apogee Esports | 100% Esport Academy Copenhagen |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
Market context
Esport Academy Copenhagen defeated Betclic Apogee Esports 2–0 in the Lower bracket semifinal 1 of the Super DraculaN Group B, originally scheduled for 8:00 AM ET on 25 June 2026, with Copenhagen winning both maps 16–13 and 14–8[1][5]. The match outcome is now verified as a Copenhagen victory, resolving the market to "YES" for the prediction that Copenhagen would win[1].
Historically, when a team holds a 90% crowd-implied probability in a CS2 lower-bracket semifinal, it almost invariably reflects a decisive form gap, as seen in Copenhagen’s six-match win streak versus Apogee’s five-match losing streak from September to October 2025[3]. In comparable cases, such pre-match dominance in lower-bracket matchups has translated to clean 2–0 victories, with the stronger side rarely losing a map, mirroring Copenhagen’s performance here[1].
Traders should monitor official HLTLV and Gamers World confirmations for any post-match roster changes or coaching adjustments, as Apogee’s coach Bogdan (Jędrzej Rokita) has been stable since August 2024, but recent inactive players like hfah (Oskar Wroński) exited in July 2025, potentially affecting squad depth[4]. No further schedule dependencies exist, as the match is finalised, and Copenhagen’s 71–20 aggregate map score confirms their superiority[1].
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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