Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Eternal Fire and fnatic meet in the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive Round of 16 at the CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs on 27 May. The Turkish side, captained by XANTARES, has maintained a top-ten world ranking throughout 2024 and 2025, whilst fnatic—the Swedish organisation—has cycled through roster changes and coaching staff over the past eighteen months. Eternal Fire's recent domestic success in Turkish competitions and consistent LAN attendance gives them structural advantages in preparation time, though fnatic's European circuit experience remains considerable.
The 0% implied probability reflects extreme confidence in Eternal Fire, yet historical CCT Europe tournaments have produced upsets when fnatic fielded motivated lineups. In 2023, fnatic defeated higher-seeded opponents in similar knockout formats when their in-game leader and support players synchronised effectively. Eternal Fire's dominance is not absolute; their map pool vulnerabilities—particularly on Mirage and Inferno—have been exploited by teams with strong anti-strat preparation.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations through late May, as fnatic has announced coaching adjustments within the past fortnight according to HLTV reporting. Any last-minute player absences or stand-in deployments would shift match dynamics substantially. Eternal Fire's travel logistics from Istanbul and potential jet lag on match day remain minor variables. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on 27 May; delays beyond 2 June trigger a 50-50 resolution. Confirmation of the exact match start time and broadcast details typically arrives 48 hours prior.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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