Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% ex-RUBY | 0% G2 Ares |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5) | 100% ex-RUBY | 0% G2 Ares |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
Market context
Ex-RUBY and G2 Ares will contest a best-of-three Counter-Strike match in the CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage on 12 June at 04:00 ET. The fixture forms part of the second round of group play in CCT's European regional circuit, where teams compete for circuit points and qualification progression. Settlement occurs at the scheduled match conclusion time, with a seven-day grace period for delays before the market resolves to a 50-50 split.
The 100% implied probability reflects significant structural asymmetry between the two rosters. G2 Ares, the academy side of the established G2 Esports organisation, typically fields players with higher competitive pedigree and institutional support than ex-RUBY, a roster without major org backing. Historical precedent in CCT Europe fixtures shows academy teams from major organisations win such matchups at rates exceeding 75%, though upsets occur when ex-RUBY fields unexpected form or G2 Ares deploys rotated lineups. Recent roster stability at G2 Ares—maintained through the spring circuit—contrasts with ex-RUBY's documented personnel churn across 2025.
Traders should monitor announcements regarding player availability through 11 June, particularly any last-minute absences or stand-in deployments that would alter expected starting lineups. CCT Europe's official schedule updates occasionally shift match timings by 1–2 hours; confirmation of the 04:00 ET slot should be verified 24 hours prior. Coaching changes or tactical adjustments announced immediately before play could shift the match dynamic, though such shifts rarely move markets trading at extremes. Forfeit risk remains minimal given both teams' participation history in the circuit.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europ… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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