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Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

100% YES 0% NO Volume: $538K Liquidity: $2K Closes: 27 May 2026
Trade on Sport Prediction →
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Sport Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Sport Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Sport Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Sport Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Sport Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Sport Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Match Winner100% YES0% NO
Ends in Daytime100% YES0% NO
Both Teams Beat Roshan90% YES10% NO
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0% YES100% NO
Any Player Ultra Kill1% YES100% NO
Any Player Rampage0% YES100% NO

Market context

Aurora and Team Spirit are scheduled to meet in a best-of-one group stage match at the BLAST Slam Dota 2 tournament on 27 May at 16:00 UTC. The fixture represents a significant test for both rosters in a competitive international event, though Team Spirit enters as the established favourite based on recent LAN performance and roster stability.

Team Spirit have maintained their core lineup through the 2024–2025 season and secured consistent top-four finishes at major events, including podium results at The International qualifiers and ESL Pro League tournaments. Aurora, by contrast, have undergone roster adjustments and coaching transitions in recent months, which typically correlates with inconsistent group stage performances. Historical precedent suggests that teams with recent personnel changes underperform in single-elimination or early-stage formats where preparation depth matters. The 100% implied probability for Aurora reflects either a significant data error in the market or an assumption of Team Spirit withdrawal—neither scenario aligns with available fixture information as of late May 2026.

Traders should monitor official BLAST communications for any schedule amendments or team roster confirmations in the 48 hours before the match. Dota 2 tournaments occasionally experience delays due to technical issues or visa complications, particularly for CIS-region teams. Additionally, any last-minute coaching staff changes or player illness announcements could shift match dynamics substantially. The settlement window closes shortly after the scheduled start time, leaving minimal window for late-breaking news to influence pricing.

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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