Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Team Falcons and OG meet in a best-of-one group stage fixture at the BLAST Slam, a Dota 2 tournament featuring top-tier rosters competing for qualification points and prize pool access. The match is scheduled for 26 May at 07:30 ET, with settlement contingent on completion by 2 June.
The 100% implied probability reflects OG's established competitive standing and recent tournament performances. OG have maintained roster stability and qualified for multiple Valve-sponsored majors, whereas Team Falcons, despite regional strength in the Middle East and South Asia circuit, have competed less frequently against top-tier European and Chinese opposition in international events. Historical matchups between established tier-one squads and regional competitors typically favour the former, though single-elimination formats introduce variance. BLAST Slam's group structure means both teams carry qualification incentives, reducing forfeit risk.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and coaching announcements in the week preceding the fixture, as Dota 2 rosters occasionally shift ahead of international tournaments. Schedule delays are possible given BLAST's multi-region coordination; any postponement beyond 7 days triggers a 50-50 resolution. Recent reporting from esports.gg and Liquipedia indicates both squads have confirmed participation, though last-minute visa or technical issues have affected previous BLAST events. The early morning ET start time may affect broadcast availability in Western markets, potentially influencing information flow closer to match time.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group … on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Sport Prediction →