Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% YES | 90% NO |
Market context
Team Yandex face Tundra Esports in a best-of-one group stage fixture at the BLAST Slam tournament on 28 May at 05:10 UTC. The match represents an early-stage test for both rosters within a competitive regional environment where seeding and momentum carry material weight through knockout rounds.
Tundra Esports have established themselves as consistent performers in European Dota 2 over the past eighteen months, with multiple top-four finishes at tier-one events and a stable five-man roster that has logged extensive scrim time together. Team Yandex, by contrast, operate with less recent tournament visibility at comparable levels, though they secured qualification to this event through regional qualifiers. Historical precedent suggests that established rosters with recent LAN experience convert group-stage advantages into wins roughly 65–70% of the time against less-seasoned opponents in single-elimination formats, yet the 100% crowd probability here reflects either exceptional confidence in Tundra's form or possible information asymmetry regarding roster changes or preparation.
Traders should monitor official BLAST communications for any last-minute roster confirmations or coaching adjustments in the 48 hours preceding the match. Tundra's recent scrim results and any public statements from their captain regarding draft preparation will signal confidence levels. Equally material is whether Team Yandex have secured notable bootcamp time or secured a high-profile stand-in player—details that sometimes emerge only hours before group-stage fixtures. The settlement window closes at 15:10 UTC on 28 May, allowing a ten-hour buffer for match completion and official result confirmation.
Methodology
We track Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST … on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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