Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 0% Forsaken | 100% Karmine Corp Blue |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% Forsaken | 100% Karmine Corp Blue |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% Odd | 0% Even |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Forsaken and Karmine Corp Blue are scheduled to contest a best-of-three decider match in EMEA Masters Group B on 12 June at 11:00 AM ET, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. The 0% implied probability on Forsaken victory suggests near-certainty around a Karmine Corp Blue win, though such extreme odds warrant scrutiny given the volatility inherent in single-elimination League of Legends fixtures and the possibility of match postponement or cancellation affecting settlement.
EMEA Masters decider matches have historically produced upsets when the lower-seeded or underdog team possesses superior mid-lane or jungle synergy, particularly in best-of-three formats where adaptation between games becomes decisive. Forsaken's recent form and roster stability relative to Karmine Corp Blue's trajectory through group play will determine whether the crowd probability reflects genuine competitive disparity or overconfidence. Traders should examine whether either squad has experienced recent coaching changes, player absences due to injury, or visa complications that might affect availability on the scheduled date.
The settlement window closes 13 June at 00:10 UTC, providing a narrow margin for rescheduling. Traders should monitor official EMEA Masters announcements for any fixture delays, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if the match extends beyond seven days without completion. Recent LEC and Masters broadcasts have experienced technical delays; confirmation of broadcast stability and both teams' readiness should be verified through official League of Legends esports channels in the 24 hours preceding the fixture.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Mast… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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