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LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

"LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Any Player Penta Kill 52% First Blood in Game 1? 52% Volume: $83K Liquidity: $155K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?49%
Match Winner46%
Game 1 Winner45%
Game 2 Winner44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

JD Gaming and Anyone’s Legend meet in a best-of-three with the market leaning slightly against JD Gaming at 44% YES, but the historical shape of the matchup still matters. JD Gaming have usually had the stronger head-to-head record across the rivalry, with one recent preview citing an 8-1 series edge overall and a 3-1 split in the last 12 months, while a more recent head-to-head note also highlighted a JDG win over Anyone’s Legend in January and another 2:1 result later in the season.[7][1][3] That background helps explain why the crowd has not priced Anyone’s Legend as a clear favourite despite their stronger short-term form in some previews.[1][2]

For traders, the main catalysts are line-up confirmation and any late scheduling change, because the settlement rules hinge on the match being played and completed. Bo3’s recent analysis pointed to JD Gaming’s improved last-month form, including wins over Bilibili Gaming and a prior series win against Anyone’s Legend, but also noted that Anyone’s Legend arrived with the better immediate streak and stronger medium-term numbers.[1] If either team announces a substitution, or if the match is postponed beyond the seven-day settlement window, that would matter more than pre-match sentiment; similarly, a series that starts but cannot finish would push the market towards the stated contingency outcome rather than a normal win call.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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