Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
10% | 90% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
10% | 90% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 10% Over | 90% Under |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5) | 0% G2 Esports | 100% XLG Gaming |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5) | 0% G2 Esports | 100% XLG Gaming |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% G2 Esports | 0% XLG Gaming |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% G2 Esports | 100% XLG Gaming |
Market context
G2 Esports face XLG Gaming in an upper bracket quarterfinal of the VCT Masters London Playoffs on 13 June, with the winner advancing directly to the semi-finals. The match is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET and will be played as a best-of-three series. The current 50-50 crowd probability reflects genuine uncertainty about the outcome, suggesting neither team enters as a clear favourite despite their respective seeding positions.
G2's recent form has been inconsistent through the regional circuit, with the squad managing qualification but without the dominant performances that characterised their earlier 2026 campaign. XLG Gaming, conversely, have shown improved consistency in their last three matches, though they remain a less established international competitor. Historical precedent in VCT playoffs suggests that teams with stronger map pool depth and mid-series adaptation tend to prevail in best-of-three formats; G2's experience in high-pressure matches provides a structural advantage, though XLG's recent upward trajectory cannot be discounted entirely.
Traders should monitor any roster confirmations or coaching adjustments announced before match day, as both organisations have made personnel changes in recent weeks. Schedule adherence is critical—any delay beyond 7 June without completion triggers a 50-50 resolution. Watch for injury reports or visa complications affecting either team's availability, particularly for XLG's international players. Broadcast confirmation and official bracket updates from Riot Games' VCT communications should be cross-referenced, as the tournament schedule has experienced minor shifts in previous editions.
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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