Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5) | 50% Team Vitality | 50% Team Heretics |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) | 100% Team Vitality | 0% Team Heretics |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5) | 100% Team Vitality | 0% Team Heretics |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5) | 100% Team Vitality | 0% Team Heretics |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Team Heretics | 100% Team Vitality |
| Match Winner | 0% Team Heretics | 100% Team Vitality |
Market context
Team Heretics and Team Vitality meet in the upper bracket quarterfinals of VCT Masters London on 12 June, with the winner advancing and the loser dropping to the lower bracket. Both teams qualified through regional competition and arrive as established contenders in the 2026 international circuit. The match is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET and will be contested across three maps in best-of-three format.
Heretics have maintained consistency as a top-tier European side, whilst Vitality's recent trajectory has been marked by roster adjustments and coaching personnel changes that have affected their preparation depth. Historical matchups between these organisations show competitive results, though recent form favours teams with stable five-stack cohesion—a factor that typically resolves close probabilities toward the side with fewer recent lineup disruptions. The 50-50 crowd probability reflects genuine uncertainty rather than information asymmetry, suggesting neither team carries clear momentum advantage into the fixture.
Traders should monitor official VCT communications for any schedule confirmations or player availability announcements in the 48 hours before match start. Valorant's technical infrastructure occasionally produces delays, though the seven-day resolution window provides substantial buffer against minor scheduling slippage. Any last-minute roster changes or coaching staff announcements from either organisation could shift the underlying competitive balance, particularly given Vitality's documented personnel transitions earlier in the season. Fixture confirmation typically arrives via the official VCT broadcast schedule and team social channels by 11 June.
Methodology
We track Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT… on Sport Prediction
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