# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's latest YouTube upload will be assessed on its view count during the first 48 hours after publication. The market resolves based on the exact figure reported by YouTube's public view counter, with brackets determining the outcome band. Given the settlement window closes 1 June 2026, the video in question must be posted before that date for the market to resolve.

MrBeast's recent upload performance provides the clearest precedent. His videos consistently accumulate 50–100 million views within 48 hours, with several exceeding 150 million in that window. The "I Survived 7 Days" series—his stated subject—typically performs above his channel average due to extended narrative formats that drive sustained engagement. Historical data shows his 48-hour view counts have remained stable across 2024 and 2025, clustering in the 80–120 million range for standard uploads and 120–180 million for major series entries. The 0% implied probability suggests traders expect the video either not to post before the deadline or to fall below the lowest bracket threshold, an outcome contradicted by his consistent upload schedule.

Timing remains the critical variable. MrBeast posts on irregular schedules; if the video uploads within two weeks of the deadline, viewers will have insufficient time to accumulate typical view counts. YouTube's algorithm performance and any concurrent platform changes could affect velocity. Recent competitor uploads and broader YouTube trends in May 2026 will shape audience availability. Traders should monitor his social channels for upload announcements and cross-reference against historical performance bands to calibrate expectations.

Methodology

This page reviews # of views of MrBeast video day 2? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.