Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Fresno State vs. Washington State | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 10% |
| Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Washington State O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Fresno State O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| O/U 41.5 | 0% |
| O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Washington State O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Washington State O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Washington State O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Washington State O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Washington State O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to fresno state vs. washington state. In the upcoming college football game between Fresno State and Washington State, scheduled for October 3 at 9:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State win the game. This mar…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $690K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Fresno State vs. Washington State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
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- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
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- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
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