Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Ohio State vs. Iowa | 95% |
| Spread -1.5 | 94% |
| Spread -2.5 | 93% |
| Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| Spread -4.5 | 90% |
| Spread -5.5 | 88% |
| Spread -6.5 | 87% |
| Spread -7.5 | 84% |
| Spread -9.5 | 80% |
| O/U 35.5 | 77% |
| Spread -10.5 | 76% |
| O/U 39.5 | 76% |
| O/U 37.5 | 73% |
| Spread -11.5 | 72% |
| Spread -13.5 | 70% |
| Spread -8.5 | 69% |
| Spread -14.5 | 66% |
| O/U 41.5 | 66% |
| Spread -12.5 | 64% |
| Spread -16.5 | 60% |
| O/U 43.5 | 60% |
| Spread -15.5 | 59% |
| Spread -17.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Iowa O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Iowa O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Iowa O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Iowa O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Iowa O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Iowa 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Iowa 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Iowa 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Iowa: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Iowa: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Iowa: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Iowa: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Iowa: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Iowa: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Iowa O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 49% |
| Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| Spread -20.5 | 49% |
| Spread -18.5 | 48% |
| Spread -19.5 | 47% |
| Spread -20.5 | 45% |
| O/U 49.5 | 43% |
| O/U 47.5 | 39% |
| Spread -22.5 | 39% |
| Spread -21.5 | 38% |
| O/U 53.5 | 34% |
| O/U 59.5 | 30% |
| Spread -24.5 | 30% |
| Spread -28.5 | 29% |
| O/U 55.5 | 28% |
| O/U 61.5 | 28% |
| O/U 65.5 | 27% |
| O/U 67.5 | 27% |
| O/U 69.5 | 27% |
| O/U 71.5 | 27% |
| O/U 51.5 | 26% |
| Spread -27.5 | 21% |
| O/U 57.5 | 14% |
| Spread -30.5 | 14% |
| Spread -1.5 | 6% |
| Spread -2.5 | 6% |
| O/U 63.5 | 6% |
| Spread -3.5 | 3% |
| Spread -4.5 | 3% |
| Spread -5.5 | 2% |
| Spread -6.5 | 2% |
| Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Iowa 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Iowa 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Iowa 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Ohio State vs. Iowa. In the upcoming college football game between Ohio State and Iowa, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio State" if Ohio State win the game. This market will resolve t…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.5M.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Ohio State vs. Iowa. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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