Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Notre Dame vs. North Carolina | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| O/U 61.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 100% |
| Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| Notre Dame O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| North Carolina O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -42.5 | 0% |
| Spread -39.5 | 0% |
| Spread -38.5 | 0% |
| Spread -36.5 | 0% |
| Spread -35.5 | 0% |
| Spread -32.5 | 0% |
| Spread -30.5 | 0% |
| Spread -29.5 | 0% |
| Spread -28.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| Spread -25.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to notre dame vs. north carolina. In the upcoming college football game between Notre Dame and North Carolina, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game. This market will…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $480K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Notre Dame vs. North Carolina. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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