Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| South Alabama 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| South Alabama 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 99% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 99% |
| O/U 43.5 | 98% |
| O/U 49.5 | 98% |
| Arkansas State O/U 23.5 | 97% |
| South Alabama O/U 20.5 | 96% |
| O/U 55.5 | 93% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 14.5 | 91% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| O/U 57.5 | 90% |
| South Alabama O/U 23.5 | 89% |
| Arkansas State O/U 29.5 | 89% |
| O/U 59.5 | 87% |
| O/U 53.5 | 85% |
| O/U 61.5 | 85% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 76% |
| O/U 65.5 | 75% |
| O/U 63.5 | 71% |
| Spread -1.5 | 69% |
| O/U 67.5 | 69% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 69% |
| Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| Spread -0.5 | 63% |
| O/U 69.5 | 61% |
| O/U 71.5 | 60% |
| Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| South Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 49% |
| Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| O/U 75.5 | 46% |
| Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| Spread -0.5 | 35% |
| Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 16.5 | 31% |
| South Alabama vs. Arkansas State | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Spread -13.5 | 26% |
| Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| Spread -17.5 | 23% |
| Spread -14.5 | 21% |
| Spread -16.5 | 20% |
| Spread -3.5 | 19% |
| Spread -4.5 | 17% |
| Spread -5.5 | 15% |
| Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 3% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Market context
The South Alabama vs. Arkansas State prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between South Alabama and Arkansas State, scheduled for October 8 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Alabama" if South Alabama win the game. This ma…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $881K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for South Alabama vs. Arkansas State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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