Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 82% |
| San Jose State vs. Hawai'i | 79% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 74% |
| Spread -2.5 | 73% |
| Spread -5.5 | 69% |
| Spread -4.5 | 67% |
| Spread -6.5 | 66% |
| Spread -3.5 | 65% |
| O/U 37.5 | 64% |
| O/U 35.5 | 59% |
| O/U 39.5 | 58% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| Spread -7.5 | 52% |
| O/U 41.5 | 52% |
| Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Hawai'i O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| San Jose State vs. Hawai'i: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State vs. Hawai'i: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| San Jose State vs. Hawai'i: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Hawai'i Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State vs. Hawai'i: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State vs. Hawai'i: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Jose State vs. Hawai'i: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| San Jose State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 42% |
| Spread -10.5 | 37% |
| O/U 45.5 | 36% |
| O/U 47.5 | 32% |
| Spread -20.5 | 31% |
| Spread -13.5 | 31% |
| O/U 51.5 | 27% |
| O/U 63.5 | 27% |
| O/U 65.5 | 27% |
| Spread -16.5 | 26% |
| Spread -14.5 | 26% |
| O/U 53.5 | 26% |
| O/U 49.5 | 24% |
| Spread -1.5 | 21% |
| Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| Spread -2.5 | 17% |
| Spread -4.5 | 17% |
| Spread -5.5 | 14% |
| O/U 55.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| O/U 57.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| O/U 59.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| O/U 61.5 | 5% |
| O/U 73.5 | 5% |
| O/U 67.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to san jose state vs. hawai'i. In the upcoming college football game between San Jose State and Hawai'i, scheduled for October 4 at 12:00AM ET: This market will resolve to "San Jose State" if San Jose State win the game. This marke…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $916K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for San Jose State vs. Hawai'i. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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