Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 80% |
| Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston | 69% |
| O/U 35.5 | 69% |
| Spread -2.5 | 68% |
| Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 41.5 | 60% |
| Spread -3.5 | 59% |
| Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| Spread -8.5 | 55% |
| Spread -5.5 | 55% |
| Spread -17.5 | 52% |
| O/U 57.5 | 51% |
| O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Sam Houston O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Western Kentucky O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| O/U 37.5 | 46% |
| Western Kentucky O/U 23.5 | 45% |
| Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| Sam Houston O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| Sam Houston O/U 29.5 | 38% |
| Spread -0.5 | 36% |
| Spread -1.5 | 29% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| O/U 39.5 | 28% |
| O/U 43.5 | 28% |
| Western Kentucky O/U 29.5 | 28% |
| Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| Western Kentucky O/U 26.5 | 27% |
| O/U 45.5 | 24% |
| O/U 47.5 | 23% |
| Spread -14.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| Sam Houston O/U 23.5 | 20% |
| Spread -16.5 | 17% |
| Spread -4.5 | 16% |
| Spread -5.5 | 16% |
| O/U 49.5 | 14% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| O/U 51.5 | 11% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| O/U 53.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| O/U 55.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| O/U 61.5 | 3% |
| O/U 67.5 | 2% |
| O/U 73.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Western Kentucky 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Western Kentucky 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Western Kentucky 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 73% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-15T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $963K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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