Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| O/U 61.5 | 100% |
| O/U 63.5 | 100% |
| O/U 65.5 | 100% |
| O/U 67.5 | 100% |
| O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| O/U 71.5 | 100% |
| O/U 73.5 | 100% |
| O/U 75.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 100% |
| West Virginia vs. Iowa State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia vs. Iowa State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia vs. Iowa State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| West Virginia O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Iowa State O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia vs. Iowa State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| West Virginia vs. Iowa State | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 0% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Iowa State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Iowa State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Iowa State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Iowa State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Iowa State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia vs. Iowa State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| West Virginia vs. Iowa State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to west virginia vs. iowa state. In the upcoming college football game between West Virginia and Iowa State, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "West Virginia" if West Virginia win the game. This marke…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $804K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for West Virginia vs. Iowa State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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