Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% Team Falcons | 100% BetBoom Team |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | 0% Team Falcons | 100% BetBoom Team |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Team Falcons | 100% BetBoom Team |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% Team Falcons | 100% BetBoom Team |
Market context
Team Falcons face BetBoom Team in a Round 2 best-of-three match at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 on 12 June, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. The fixture carries significant weight as both squads harbour Major aspirations, and a loss here terminates their campaign.
The 36% implied probability for Falcons reflects their recent inconsistency at tier-one events. Whilst Falcons reached the PGL Major finals in May, they've struggled to maintain that form through spring qualifiers, dropping maps against mid-tier opposition. BetBoom, conversely, qualified through a more demanding path and have shown steadier results in online qualifiers leading into Cologne. Historical precedent suggests that teams entering Majors with momentum—rather than those riding on single deep runs—tend to convert shorter odds more reliably. Falcons' reliance on individual fragging power without consistent tactical cohesion has been noted by esports analysts covering the circuit.
Traders should monitor team rosters through to match day, as visa delays have disrupted Cologne attendance in prior years. BetBoom's recent addition of a new in-game leader, reported by HLTV in early June, could either stabilise their mid-round calling or introduce communication friction depending on integration speed. Falcons' coaching staff has remained stable, but their map pool flexibility—particularly on Inferno and Mirage—will be tested against BetBoom's structured approach. Any last-minute stand-in announcements or technical issues during the scheduled 10:00 AM ET window should be flagged, as the settlement window closes at 21:10 UTC on match day.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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