Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match in The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, where established side Virtus.pro faces unranked newcomer TEAM VISION in a Best of 3 series scheduled for 25 June 2026. This is the first time these two teams have met, with Virtus.pro holding a clear pedigree advantage as the #18 ranked squad globally, having won two of their last five matches, while TEAM VISION remains unranked despite a solitary recent win [1].

Historically, markets assigning near-zero probability to a lower-ranked qualifier facing a top-tier European team often reflect the steep difficulty gap in BO3 formats, where experience and map knowledge typically overwhelm raw talent in early qualifiers. Comparable cases from past TI qualifiers show that unranked teams rarely overcome established rosters like Virtus.pro without significant roster instability or key absences on the veteran side, making the current 0% implied probability a logical reflection of this structural disadvantage [1][6].

Traders should monitor any pre-match roster announcements for Virtus.pro, as sudden player absences or coaching changes could drastically alter the form dynamic, alongside checking for TEAM VISION’s recent practice results which may indicate hidden preparation levels. Recent Strafe user predictions already favour Virtus.pro with 56.8% of votes, suggesting the crowd may be underestimating the unranked team’s potential if they have secured a strong recent win streak [1]. No major roster changes have been reported for either side as of today, but any late updates before the 3:00 PM ET start time will be critical [2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.