Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler | 100% Martin Landaluce | 0% Marc-Andrea Huesler |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Set 1 Winner | 0% Landaluce | 100% Huesler |
| Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Martin Landaluce and Marc-Andrea Huesler are scheduled to contest a qualifying-round match at the Halle Open on 13 June 2026. The market currently reflects near-certainty that this fixture will proceed to a decisive result, with the 100% probability suggesting either strong confidence in match completion or minimal trading activity at present.
Landaluce, a Spanish player ranked outside the top 200, has competed sporadically on the ATP Challenger circuit in recent seasons, with limited grass-court exposure. Huesler, the Swiss veteran, has maintained a presence in qualifying draws across multiple tournaments but has faced declining match frequency since 2024. Historical precedent for qualifying matches at grass-court events shows cancellation rates below 5% once draws are finalised, though weather delays remain a material risk at Halle given North Rhine-Westphalia's June climate patterns. The seven-day resolution window provides substantial buffer against rescheduling complications that might otherwise trigger the 50-50 tie-break clause.
Traders should monitor official Halle Open communications for any draw amendments or withdrawal announcements in the week preceding 13 June. Injury updates for either player—particularly relevant given Huesler's age and Landaluce's limited recent match play—could shift expectations. Weather forecasts for Halle during the qualifying phase merit attention, as the tournament's indoor courts are limited and outdoor delays compound scheduling pressure. Any ATP ranking changes affecting seeding or entry status should be tracked through the ATP's official site through to the settlement deadline on 20 June.
Methodology
This page reviews Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Sport Prediction →