Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 Winner | 0% Mannarino | 100% Minaur |
| Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% Minaur | 0% Mannarino |
| Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 Winner | 0% Mannarino | 100% Minaur |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 0% probability to libema open: adrian mannarino vs alex de minaur. This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Alex de Minaur in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannari…
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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