Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Clube do Remo (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| São Paulo FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Clube do Remo (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| São Paulo FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Clube do Remo travel to face São Paulo FC in a Série A fixture on 30 May 2026. The match carries weight for both clubs' mid-season positioning, though Remo's recent form has been notably fragile. The club finished 2025 in the lower half of the table and has struggled to maintain consistency under their current setup, whilst São Paulo enters as the stronger side on paper, with a more stable squad and recent victories against comparable opposition.
The 0% implied probability reflects market scepticism about additional betting markets materialising for this particular fixture. Historically, secondary markets for Série A matches—particularly those involving lower-ranked sides like Remo—often fail to launch or attract sufficient liquidity to settle. Comparable fixtures from the 2024 season show that only matches involving the traditional "big four" (Flamengo, Corinthians, Santos, and Palmeiras) consistently trigger expanded market offerings. Remo's limited commercial reach and smaller supporter base mean bookmakers frequently deprioritise supplementary markets for their fixtures.
Traders should monitor official announcements from the fixture's host platform in early May, as market expansion decisions typically occur within two weeks of kick-off. São Paulo's injury status—particularly regarding their attacking midfield—could influence whether operators deem the match sufficiently compelling for additional markets. Recent reporting from *Globo Esporte* has highlighted Remo's ongoing squad instability, with two coaching changes since January, a factor that may further discourage market expansion. Settlement timing at 22:30 UTC on match day suggests the platform is prepared for standard match-result markets only.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $125K.
Methodology
We track Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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