Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit | 100% |
| The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit - Who wins the toss? | 76% |
| The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit - Completed match? | 50% |
Market context
Trent Rockets and London Spirit are meeting in The Hundred again, with the men’s side having a long enough head-to-head history to show that either result is plausible despite the market being priced at 100% YES. Recent comparable matches have swung both ways: Rockets beat Spirit by seven runs in a low-scoring chase in 2021, Spirit then beat Rockets by 21 runs in 2025, and Rockets narrowly chased 160 for six against Spirit in the 2026 tournament opener at Trent Bridge.[1][2][3]
That mixed record matters because The Hundred’s short format leaves little room for recovery, so selection news and late changes can move the balance sharply. In the most recent report available from the 2026 men’s competition, Rockets were again able to defend or chase in tight conditions, while BBC’s live coverage shows the match is scheduled for a 14:30 start, which means any toss, weather interruption, or late squad update can still influence the final result before the settlement window closes.[3][8] Recent reports also point to both sides having experienced coaching and availability disruptions in past Hundred campaigns, including Andy Flower’s coronavirus absence for Rockets and Spirit’s coaching under Shane Warne in earlier editions, so traders typically watch for team-sheet announcements and last-minute replacement news rather than leaning on league-wide trends alone.[1]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $332K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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