Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| T20 Blast, Women: Hampshire vs Durham - Completed match? | 56% |
| T20 Blast, Women: Hampshire vs Durham | 0% |
| T20 Blast, Women: Hampshire vs Durham - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
Hampshire Women and Durham Women face off in a T20 Blast Women match on 17 July 2026 at Stanley Park, with the crowd assigning a 0% chance to Hampshire winning. This near-zero probability contradicts their recent head-to-head record, where Hampshire defeated Durham by eight wickets in the 34th match of the 2026 Vitality Blast Women on 28 June, scoring 131 for 2 while restricting Durham to 128 for 7[4][7]. In the season’s fifth match on 23 May, however, Durham dominated with a 178/5 innings, winning by 32 runs against Hampshire’s 146-8[2][5]. The divergence suggests market pricing hinges on current form or squad availability rather than historical balance, with Durham’s earlier dominance potentially outweighing Hampshire’s late-June victory in traders’ eyes.
Traders should monitor pre-match squad announcements for key absences, particularly Hampshire’s top scorer Bouchier, who scored 63 in their June win, and Durham’s Windsor, who contributed 30 in the same fixture[4]. Weather conditions at Stanley Park in Blackpool could also trigger DLS adjustments, a factor that has influenced past T20 Blast Women outcomes. The ECB app and YouTube channels will broadcast live coverage, offering real-time updates on team composition and pitch reports[6]. With the settlement window closing on 24 July 2026, any late changes to playing conditions or player fitness will directly impact the market’s resolution, making pre-match news critical for accurate positioning.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $100K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for T20 Blast, Women: Hampshire vs Durham. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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